<<@veritasium
says :
To help correct your overconfidence we have a tabletop game launching. Back the game now on kickstarter! - https://ve42.co/ocpc
>>
<<@TheBigBlueMarble
says :
Overconfidence has also led to some of the greatest advances and successes in history.
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<<@SaltyJuan
says :
Overconfidence also leads to success. Itβs not always bad, although it can be lots of the time. But overconfidence in the right scenario is unbelievably powerful.
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<<@Scharkleaf
says :
generational thumbnail
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<<@clxckworkss
says :
Insane reaction image
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<<@cedrics7374
says :
I know a colleague like that π
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<<@_Dovar_
says :
Intellectual humility is the ultimate realism.
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<<@lastloke
says :
I'm 100% sure I love this guy. Keep it up dude
>>
<<@brokenrecord3523
says :
I'm not always confident I'm right, but I'm sure you're wrong.
>>
<<@JOATMOFA
says :
DUNNING-KRUGER?
>>
<<@AhmadAboulFarag
says :
I finally figured it out, you look a lot like rowan from VLDL
>>
<<@MelomaniacMk4
says :
2:34 Hannah being Hannah, she supported the argument with yet another brainstorming fact.
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<<@jdc1957
says :
" Always rule out the possibly you could be wrong " POTUS
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<<@jdc1957
says :
" Never rule out the possibly ..... You could be wrong " Dale Carnegie
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<<@litning123
says :
Most people think the most important "three little words" are "I love you." I've contended for decades (before D-K) the answer is, "I don't know." For pedants: if you're incapable of accepting a commonly used contraction as one word, consider it in Mandarin: "Wo bu zhidao" (lit. "I not know").
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<<@timd6613
says :
This guy was the inverse Cramer of his time. Lmao.
>>
<<@anthonymartinez4661
says :
This thumbnail and Title got EXTREMELY High Potential
>>
<<@twbcjhfstwbcjhfs
says :
Dunning Kruger: stupid people are confident.
>>
<<@HelloHi-oj4ub
says :
Itβs not about being confidently incorrect, people just pressed a poll π€¦ββοΈ (the irony)
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<<@dsnied2433
says :
so.... our leaders, those overconfident blow-hard know-it-alls, are the least qualified people to be leading. Anyone who has worked in a large company knows what I am talking about. (Said with only a slight bit of sarcasm) ;-)
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<<@mrsheldon9134
says :
For those who want to know, solar panels are around 20% efficient while plants are around 1% efficient.
>>
<<@StephenMorris-y2m
says :
Cocaine
>>
<<@casualhillenjoyer2441
says :
I wonder how many Americans are 100% confident that: China is authoritarian. North Korea is a dictatorship of the delusional. Communism cannot work in reality. America has a free market system.
>>
<<@Ohem1
says :
It doesn't matter, someone's mom is wider.
>>
<<@zecchinoroni
says :
I was SO confident that Australia is NOT wider than the moon. In fact, I thought anyone who believed that must be an idiot. Oops. π Point proven.
>>
<<@craccaraca
says :
2:27 hi astrum
>>
<<@tobias3581
says :
Almost 100% of fighters believe they can beat their opponents at 50% realistic chance
>>
<<@MrOpinionCantSignIn
says :
The simple answer is NOT the need to feel superior or the 'I told you so' . The truth is that 'without confidence in decisions' (opinions) nothjng eould move forward The first guy that built a shelter outside a cave was absolutely confident that he could, even though he likely failed 100 times ...
>>
<<@marvinmcmurray761
says :
And so with this game tie into the 37 quandary?
>>
<<@SimonCooper-l6v
says :
Confidence over competence-is the American standard π«‘ - the giant orange is proof
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<<@whaver-g9e
says :
7:11 WELL, SHOULDN'T IT BE CONSIDERED THAT WE ESTIMATE OUR CHANCES OF BEING CORRECT USING OUR OWN INTELLIGENCE? SO, CLEARLY, A PERSON WHO DOES NOT HAVE AN IDEA OF HOW FAR AND HOW MUCH THEY ARE LIKELY TO BE WRONG ALWAYS ESTIMATES IT IN THE RANGE OF 85%+. IN SIMPLER TERMS: 'PEOPLE ESTIMATE THEIR INTELLIGENCE USING THEIR OWN INTELLIGENCE.' IT IS LIKE USING A 10CM SCALE BELIEVING IT IS 1M AND USING IT TO MEASURE ITSELF.
>>
<<@mikegamikega
says :
I have heard that Australia is as about as wide as the moon's *diameter*.
>>
<<@X3R0theH3R0
says :
From my experience there are 2 main reasons we as humans fall victim to this. 1 the less intelligent you are the more confident you are because you don't understand how little you know. 2 is that people who are confident are listened to (it doesn't matter that you're right if you can make anyone believe you) This is why I have said for the last 30ish years the larger a group gets the lower the collective IQ drops, because as a group gets bigger the odds of a very confident very wrong person grows and the bigger the group the dumber that person could be. Yes the smartest person in the group will get smarter as the group grows as well but they're smart enough to know that they could be wrong even when their right and Captain Dumb-ass is 100% sure about everything no mater how wrong they are. I seems like a bad idea to tell smart people they should should be more confident, so I think that we need to train people to be more cautious of confident people. Con-men got the name not by being confident, but by instilling confidence in their mark, the more confident you are, the less you see.
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<<@JamesHood-s9x
says :
Wow I love all of your videos Please keep it going
>>
<<@JamesHood-s9x
says :
All religions! No Assumptions are true!
>>
<<@emma_em_11
says :
The DUNNING-KRUGER EFFECT?? Also, the WISEST people KNOW that THEY KNOW NOTHING! (Socrates) In other words, THEY are WISE because THEY CAN ADMIT TO THEIR IGNORANCE on a subject! OVER-CONFIDENT people CAN BE INSECURE, itβs a FRONT, and NOT KNOWING is NOT something THEY CAN ADMIT TO! Itβs actually a STRENGTH! It SHOWS INTEGRITY and LEADS to SEEKING OUT the REQUIRED KNOWLEDGE!
>>
<<@RyanHoguePassiveIncome
says :
Is the movie Rogue Trader about this guy? π π
>>
<<@lazdawg1
says :
Lord this is not what I needed in my journey to try to be more confident and decisive on a daily basis
>>
<<@Aphobius
says :
Clown americans, why they are not saying that they don't know?
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<<@BigBoldTaco
says :
Brother im overconfident all the time lol
>>
<<@autumnwhistles-yc5xb
says :
FLASH WARNING!! (photosensitive seizure risk): 14:05-14:12 ; 17:33-17:39; 20:29-20:40; 22:25-22:33; 23:15-23:23. also 15:41-15:50 but not quite as intense. possibly warnings before this as well. 18:18-18:21 very quickly switching images but they're all quite similar to each other brightness-wise. great video though!
>>
<<@rahmath3305
says :
How confident are scientists about the counting of stars in Milky Way and the trees?
>>
<<@JambaJuke
says :
Is there somewhere I can buy this? I missed the kickstarter and I really want a copy of the game
>>
<<@an_autodidact
says :
The more you know, the more questions you realise you can't answer. This is why I don't trade or bet.
>>
<<@IAmBehalf
says :
5 months late, so not sure if this comment will get seen by anyone, but does anyone know what the scale of 'confidence' actually means? At 9:50 he mentions that accuracy ranged from 0%-100%, while confidence varied over a much narrower range. But what is the correct answer for confidence if you are not sure? For example, let's say I have absolutely no idea if the moon or Australia is wider. My hunch says "this wouldn't be a question if it wasn't Australia and they would have picked Russia", so I'm very slightly leaning towards Australia. Am I 51% confident? Or am I 2% confident? Because I can see it is easy to get mixed up with being 50/50 about something. But to me, if I said I was 30% confident about something, it does feel like I'm implying that I'm 70% confident of the alternative choice. Even though, for sure, that can't be the case. I think that statistically, I must be 2% confident that Australia is wider, right? But did the people who made up the data know this as well? It's also interesting because it was mentioned that people who said they were 90% confident turned out to be 75% accurate - but, if they are 90% confident as in "there is a 90% chance this answer is correct", rather than "I believe I get this answer correct 90% of the time", then isn't that actually 80% confident towards their answer? And that's much closer to 75%. So perhaps a lot of this comes down to misunderstanding, and those who said they were 90% confident were pretty much spot on. I'm curious as to how other people interpreted the scale for confidence. Was your first thought that 50% confidence means you are taking a total guess? Or 0%?
>>
<<@bethany8721
says :
Seems wild to talk about overconfidence but not address segments of race, gender, and even financial stability.
>>
<<@TristianDSF
says :
Waiting for ts to become a generational reaction image
>>
<<@jaxyperson
says :
People are confident when they're wrong because, if they weren't confident, they wouldn't have been wrong. It's just like the reason why the place you find something is the last place you look; it's in the last place you look because you stop looking after you find it.
>>
<<@eL_m0
says :
3:05 they were in spain, i can tell by the accent and the spanish Flag
>>
<<@MrsMementoMary
says :
So what does it mean when someone is chronically UNDER-confident?
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