Which experts have real expertise? This video is sponsored by Brilliant. The first 200 people to sign up via https://brilliant.org/veritasium get 20% off a yearly subscription.
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Chase, W. G., & Simon, H. A. (1973). Perception in chess. Cognitive psychology, 4(1), 55-81. – https://ve42.co/chess1
Calderwood, R., Klein, G. A., & Crandall, B. W. (1988). Time pressure, skill, and move quality in chess. The American Journal of Psychology, 481-493. – https://ve42.co/chess2
Hogarth, R. M., Lejarraga, T., & Soyer, E. (2015). The two settings of kind and wicked learning environments. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 24(5), 379-385. – https://ve42.co/Hogarth
Ægisdóttir, S., White, M. J., Spengler, P. M., Maugherman, A. S., Anderson, L. A., Cook, R. S., ... & Rush, J. D. (2006). The meta-analysis of clinical judgment project: Fifty-six years of accumulated research on clinical versus statistical prediction. The Counseling Psychologist, 34(3), 341-382. – https://ve42.co/anderson1
Ericsson, K. A. (2015). Acquisition and maintenance of medical expertise: a perspective from the expert-performance approach with deliberate practice. Academic Medicine, 90(11), 1471-1486. – https://ve42.co/anderson2
Goldberg, S. B., Rousmaniere, T., Miller, S. D., Whipple, J., Nielsen, S. L., Hoyt, W. T., & Wampold, B. E. (2016). Do psychotherapists improve with time and experience? A longitudinal analysis of outcomes in a clinical setting. Journal of Counseling Psychology, 63(1), 1. – https://ve42.co/goldberg1
Ericsson, K. A., Krampe, R. T., & Tesch-Römer, C. (1993). The role of deliberate practice in the acquisition of expert performance. Psychological Review, 100(3), 363. – https://ve42.co/anderson3
Egan, D. E., & Schwartz, B. J. (1979). Chunking in recall of symbolic drawings. Memory & Cognition, 7(2), 149-158. – https://ve42.co/chunking1
Tetlock, P. E. (2017). Expert political judgment. In Expert Political Judgment. Princeton University Press. – https://ve42.co/Tetlock
Melton, R. S. (1952). A comparison of clinical and actuarial methods of prediction with an assessment of the relative accuracy of different clinicians. Unpublished Ph.D. thesis, University of Minnesota.
Meehl, E. P. (1954). Clinical versus Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence. University of Minnesota Press. – https://ve42.co/Meehl1954
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Written by Derek Muller and Petr Lebedev
Animation by Ivy Tello and Fabio Albertelli
Filmed by Derek Muller and Raquel Nuno
Additional video/photos supplied by Getty Images
Music from Epidemic Sound (https://ve42.co/music)
Produced by Derek Muller, Petr Lebedev, and Emily Zhang
Most enjoyable presentation from Veritasium for me so far. This topic matches so much of what I’ve found over decades of reading, listening and questioning to become better at… anything! Thanks.
@Meow_dasKatze Says:
"you don't only need to practice, but you need deliberate practice"
Me hearing this while practicing but not deliberately
@shaypah6924 Says:
this was only years ago. imagine making that video now with fx etc
@AndyMyron Says:
As an expert in human behavior, warfare, global economics and history, I predict that a certain stock is going up is about 50/50. 😁
The thing is that not even a person that had all those skills would be able to predict that. And I certainly can't.
Better you go to a fortune teller, fake or not doesn't matter, or just roll a dice.
And as some actually has power to influence what is happening then those doesn't even need to try to predict their own actions.
Alas... the game is rigged in favour of those that has influence.
The safest bet you can do is to play the game just like those that has the power of influence.
@AndyMyron Says:
Trying to predict human behaviour is probably the hardest.
Magnus carlsen has started playing chess doing "stupid" openings so his opponent can't recognize the game coming.
@Mr.PocketAivan Says:
Magnus views spatial structures in chess like coding algorithms. His mind is 3D actually
@arisantoso7574 Says:
👍
@brlyjo Says:
3:16 You can remember an entire sentence when you speak the language.
@cz941 Says:
10:27 I wonder if the outcome of the experiment with humans would so much differ from that with rats, if the human subject would get punish for the wrong choice as well (it doesn't need to be an electric shock, a financial penalty, let's say -10$ for each wrong choice, would work just as well).
@mikejenny667 Says:
Golf is a great example of this, if you ask a professional golfer after a round to go back and tell you every shot, yardage, club they hit, where the wind was, how they hit it, and how it felt they’ll be able to
@wantedglove123 Says:
So maybe you can never say that you are an expert but closer to being one.. just like getting to infinity ...as there is always a criteria to learn difficult things and being out of the comfort zone...so that never ends as there is always new things you have to learn atleast in the field I am interested in..that is tech...so you always keep moving towards the goal of being an expert but I guess you can just get close to it and never fully reach it and stop
@lodestar1380 Says:
"bro just do the tutorial every other month, it's not that hard."
@brunofaria9113 Says:
This is a very insightful video.
@cmmndrblu Says:
This is why, of the humanities, I love foreign languages. They're humbling, you get feedback, and you know you can always improve. I guess AI makes them less "useful" but I find they're still internally useful as something to challenge yourself at.
@medrict Says:
What makes an expert,
1) Having repeated attempts with feedback, without it, you're just as good as anyone else (for eg, sports analyst, where situations are always new)
2) Valid Environment, needs to be in a low volatile environment, where thing's are not random
3) Timely feedback, having delayed feedback makes improvement hard or impossible
4) Don't get too comfortable, having deliberate practice
@cougarbob1776 Says:
What about that little girl playing chess? What about child prodigies who haven’t seen thousands of hours? I guess they’re in a different category.
@idwolfshow1727 Says:
It's thinking you have the curse of knowledge, when the knowledge doesn't apply. The human condition is so complex... may empathy save us and may hate lose.
@AssuranceofHim Says:
Fifth necessity: managing the risk of your decision
@tanmay_gadge Says:
0:32 23000 digits?
That's a lot of pie for my diet.
@barmalini Says:
It doesn’t matter how many digits you remember, if your president is still Donald trump
@RadiusG60 Says:
I don't think the average hedge fund manager is an "expert". I think most are con men. Also, the markets are not random, there is a big finger on the scale, manipulation.
@JamiMilder Says:
I'm an expert at lying around doing nothing
@GT-tj1qg Says:
8:37 Are those risk-adjusted returns?
@bernardsimsic9334 Says:
All the suppositions are fake. There can be no experts on anything except knowing what has happened in the past which gives no insight into what will actually happen in the future. The variables are too great!
@DAgatto Says:
10,000 hours is 416 days and 6 hours.
Timestamps:
4:58
1. Repeated attempts with feedback.
6:48
2. Valid environment
11:22
3. Timely feedback
13:51
4. Delibirate practice
@Sinculdj Says:
GOOD VIDEO
@ETHBullish Says:
:45 no it isnt
@brucelivingston2220 Says:
I remember Jordan Peterson, pre-DW, would talk about figure skaters doing amazing performances, and how that relates to the yin-yang philosophy of the east. The best performers are always operating on the border of order and chaos, pushing the envelope, as it were. You can't play the basic chords for 20 years, and you can't drive safely your whole life. At least not if you want to become the best. And for that, you need ambition and passion, qualities that don't always come naturally.
@bigchestflex Says:
Lovely to see Magnus represented early on. In my opinion, he's the most expert of experts no matter field. For a guy on the street, it's less probable beating Magnus one game out of a thousand than beating prime Jordan, Federer and Tiger one on one on the same day. He remembers tens of thousands of games. I might get this wrong, but I heard him say he's got his top move the moment his opponent makes his/hers. When you see him calculate, it's mostly to make sure his intuition is in line. I like what Hikaru said, "Against Magnus, you don't simply wanna play a game of chess......you wanna go into these long computer lines - you wanna try and prepare super hard. The last thing you want against Magnus is to actually play chess." Coming from the World nr. 2, it's not even close. He's got chess super powers. The more you learn about him and the game, the more unbelievable it gets
@mchisolm0 Says:
Thanks for sharing 😊
@ThroughYeshuaislife Says:
Very insightful. My son led me here to hlep me with my inability to do math, lol
@somerandoo-m3n Says:
i have probably watched this video 5 times over the last 2 years i find this concept to be invaluable
@TheLan-g6j Says:
Im @ 2:05. My dad taught me this as my first lesson in chess. However, my dad also told me that those who are good at chess because of memory instead of visualizing strategy will lose if you deviate from the responses
He taught me that because I was good at remembering what happened in similar or identical situations
@wolfensky3889 Says:
11:31 YouTuber Jschlatt is a perfect example of this. He talked about how much that confetti messed with his mind and how depressed he got when it wouldn't appear.
@philtiu Says:
No fund analyst would go against Nancy Pelosi though.
@Gordon-u2z9z Says:
A few shots fired here ngl. xD
@TylerTKelley Says:
Did you ever consider pronouncing the word Draauumma; may have helped w/ the entrance interviews---just sayin'!
@Zeraph420 Says:
Apparently I have a better memory than a chest master because I tested myself live and remembered 8 of the random placement. I also remembered 16 of the first one. So I might want to get into chess and take it seriously... Thanks for the inspiration, and from a 3 year old video at that. Makes me glad that I started following this channel.
@avnix4326 Says:
Why don't radiologists practice by trying to diagnose past x-rays where the true diagnosis is already known, so they can get immediate feedback?
@SlipperyShadow Says:
14:43 she's very pretty
@SlipperyShadow Says:
this makes sense because with math problems that would take me 20 seconds to do, i can instinctively know the answer
@JosephTembo-f4n Says:
By far my favourite video of Veritasium ❤
@seanseguin7253 Says:
BORING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Sad attempt at being interesting.
@sourmonkey4915 Says:
i wonder if at 15:00 is the same logic iv noticed that when you learn more in a field the earlier stuff becomes easier even if you didnt study it. like in math when you do calc 2 all of calc 1 is easier even if the concepts arnt exactly the same.
@robinmiller871 Says:
And this, children.... is why you shouldn't go to college and instead go actually do something useful.
@nicholasdenman6642 Says:
Why do you see 6 year olds playing amazing piano? Surely natural talent has to play a huge part also.
@ZaTryss10kZa Says:
5:10 and that's why most rappers started off as shitting a SoundCloud wrappers, until they improved and get feedback and become good rappers, like Tyler. The creator used to make shitty fun songs like tamale and I love those songs, but now it makes more soulful and great songs rather than just fun songs. A great song is different than a fun song, but they're both music just in very different ways.
@zertolos5018 Says:
I feel like my iq increases by 2 eatch time I watch your videos
@srkntksm Says:
great video
@BertieVTuber Says:
I wish more people were practice pilled. I hate when people say silly things like "I can't cook" and "I can't draw". ANYONE can do those things if they bother to really try.
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